AI Match Insights

Paraense Série B2 Nov 26, 2025

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
02:35

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Santos Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.96 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Athletico Paranaense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Athletico… vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Nov 19 Athletico… vs Gavião 3-1
Nov 16 Athletico… vs Ferroviár… 1-2
Nov 15 Athletico… vs Operário-… 0-0
Nov 14 Athletico… vs Gavião 1-2
Nov 09 Athletico… vs Criciúma 1-0
Nov 08 Athletico… vs Volta Red… 2-0
Nov 01 Athletico… vs Goiás 0-1
Oct 31 Athletico… vs Paysandu … 2-1
Oct 28 Athletico… vs Amazonas 2-0
Santos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Santos vs Internaci… 1-1
Nov 20 Santos vs Mirassol 1-1
Nov 16 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-0
Nov 14 Santos vs Fluminense 2-1
Nov 11 Santos vs Fluminense 4-2
Nov 09 Santos vs Flamengo 3-2
Nov 07 Santos vs Palmeiras 2-0
Nov 06 Santos vs Aparecide… 3-0
Nov 03 Santos vs Aparecide… 3-1
Nov 01 Santos vs Fortaleza 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 14, 2025 Athletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Santos Piauiense
Dec 03, 2023 Athletico Paranaense 3 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 05, 2023 Santos 1 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Sep 28, 2022 Santos 2 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Jun 04, 2022 Athletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Santos Serie A
Oct 30, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Santos Serie A
Sep 15, 2021 Santos 0 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.