AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Apertura Apr 21, 2025

Nacional Asunción

Home
VS
23:15

Deportivo Recoleta

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Nacional Asunción Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Deportivo Recoleta Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.26 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Deportivo Recoleta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Nacional Asunción Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Mar 30 Nacional … vs General C… 1-0
Mar 10 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-1
Mar 01 Nacional … vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 22 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-1
Feb 08 Nacional … vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jan 25 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Oct 25 Nacional … vs General C… 1-0
Oct 21 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-2
Oct 16 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Deportivo Recoleta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Deportivo… vs Libertad … 1-1
Apr 10 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 0-4
Mar 21 Deportivo… vs Sportivo … 1-1
Feb 08 Deportivo… vs Nacional … 1-0
Feb 02 Deportivo… vs Libertad … 5-2
Jan 28 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Aug 16 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 0-0
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-0
May 11 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 4-2
Apr 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nacional Asunción in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2025 Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 0 Nacional Asunción Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional Asunción to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Deportivo Recoleta Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.