AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Division Profesional - Apertura Feb 08, 2025

Deportivo Recoleta

Home
VS
21:15

Nacional Asunción

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Deportivo Recoleta Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Nacional Asunción Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.39 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Recoleta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Nacional Asunción Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Deportivo Recoleta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Deportivo… vs Libertad … 5-2
Jan 28 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Aug 16 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 0-0
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-0
May 11 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 4-2
Apr 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-2
Aug 29 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 1-3
Aug 11 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Jul 08 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 2-1
May 19 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 0-2
Nacional Asunción Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Oct 25 Nacional … vs General C… 1-0
Oct 21 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 2-2
Oct 16 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 0-0
Oct 09 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 2-1
Oct 06 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 1-0
Aug 17 Nacional … vs General C… 0-0
Aug 13 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 1-0
Aug 08 Nacional … vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Aug 04 Nacional … vs Sportivo … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Recoleta to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Recoleta Power 0
Nacional Asunción Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.