AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Oct 28, 2023

Mukura

Home
VS
13:00

Etincelles

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Mukura Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Etincelles Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.80 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Mukura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Etincelles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Mukura Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Mukura vs Bugesera 2-1
Aug 26 Mukura vs Marines 1-0
Aug 20 Mukura vs Amagaju 1-1
May 06 Mukura vs Etincelles 3-1
Apr 29 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Apr 16 Mukura vs Marines 0-1
Mar 04 Mukura vs Bugesera 0-1
Feb 04 Mukura vs Rutsiro 1-1
Jan 28 Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Dec 11 Mukura vs Bugesera 0-1
Etincelles Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Etincelles vs APR 0-3
Oct 10 Etincelles vs Musanze 0-3
Sep 17 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Aug 28 Etincelles vs Amagaju 2-0
May 06 Etincelles vs Mukura 3-1
Apr 29 Etincelles vs Police 1-0
Mar 12 Etincelles vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-2
Feb 24 Etincelles vs AS Kigali 2-2
Feb 19 Etincelles vs APR 4-2
Feb 05 Etincelles vs Musanze 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mukura in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Etincelles struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2023 Mukura 3 - 1 Etincelles National Socce…
Oct 30, 2022 Etincelles 2 - 1 Mukura National Socce…
Jun 17, 2022 Etincelles 1 - 2 Mukura National Socce…
Jan 27, 2022 Mukura 1 - 0 Etincelles National Socce…
Jun 10, 2021 Mukura 1 - 0 Etincelles National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mukura to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mukura Power 0
Etincelles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Mukura Position

+13

Position Gap

18

Etincelles Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.