AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division League (FDL) Sep 17, 2024

Al-Faisaly

Home
VS
15:40

Al Jabalain

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al-Faisaly Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al Jabalain Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.72 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Faisaly Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Al Jabalain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Al-Faisaly Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 Al-Faisaly vs Al Orubah 1-2
May 21 Al-Faisaly vs Al Najma 0-2
May 13 Al-Faisaly vs Hajer 2-1
May 07 Al-Faisaly vs Jeddah Cl… 1-0
Apr 29 Al-Faisaly vs Al-Batin 0-2
Apr 23 Al-Faisaly vs Al Arabi … 2-1
Mar 10 Al-Faisaly vs Al-Batin 1-3
Mar 03 Al-Faisaly vs Al Riyadh 5-2
Feb 19 Al-Faisaly vs Al Jabala… 1-1
Feb 04 Al-Faisaly vs Al-Ittiha… 0-4
Al Jabalain Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Al Jabala… vs Al Arabi … 2-2
Sep 01 Al Jabala… vs Al Arabi … 1-2
Aug 26 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 0-0
May 28 Al Jabala… vs Al-Batin 2-2
May 28 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 1-4
May 21 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 1-0
May 21 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 2-3
May 15 Al Jabala… vs Al Shabab 5-1
May 14 Al Jabala… vs Al-Batin 1-4
May 08 Al Jabala… vs Al Arabi … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Faisaly struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2024 Al Jabalain 1 - 1 Al-Faisaly First Division…
Jan 23, 2024 Al Jabalain 0 - 1 Al-Faisaly First Division…
Sep 14, 2023 Al-Faisaly 2 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
Aug 15, 2023 Al-Faisaly 3 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
Feb 02, 2023 Al Jabalain 1 - 2 Al-Faisaly First Division…
Aug 31, 2022 Al-Faisaly 3 - 1 Al Jabalain First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Faisaly Power 0
Al Jabalain Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Al-Faisaly Position

-2

Position Gap

5

Al Jabalain Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.