AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Nov 28, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
01:00

Walter Ferretti

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Walter Ferretti Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Walter Ferretti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Real Estelí Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Real Este… vs Matagalpa 1-0
Nov 07 Real Este… vs H&H Export 3-0
Nov 02 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 0-1
Oct 26 Real Este… vs Diriangén 0-0
Oct 23 Real Este… vs Managua FC 2-1
Oct 19 Real Este… vs Jalapa 1-1
Oct 17 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Sep 28 Real Este… vs UNAN Mana… 0-0
Sep 25 Real Este… vs Diriangén 1-1
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Real Madr… 1-3
Walter Ferretti Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Walter Fe… vs Jalapa 3-1
Nov 06 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 1-2
Nov 02 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 0-1
Oct 27 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-0
Oct 22 Walter Fe… vs Rancho Sa… 1-1
Oct 17 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 3-0
Oct 05 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 2-1
Sep 28 Walter Fe… vs Real Madr… 3-2
Sep 25 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-1
Sep 21 Walter Fe… vs UNAN Mana… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Walter Ferretti 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Aug 25, 2025 Real Estelí 0 - 0 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Jul 12, 2025 Walter Ferretti 1 - 4 Real Estelí Copa Nicaragua
Jul 10, 2025 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Copa Nicaragua
Mar 09, 2025 Walter Ferretti 0 - 1 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Jan 23, 2025 Real Estelí 2 - 0 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Dec 15, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Dec 08, 2024 Walter Ferretti 1 - 4 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Walter Ferretti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Walter Ferretti Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.