AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Jan 23, 2025

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:00

Walter Ferretti

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Walter Ferretti Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.08 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Walter Ferretti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Real Estelí Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 3-2
Dec 15 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Dec 08 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-4
Nov 21 Real Este… vs Managua FC 0-1
Nov 18 Real Este… vs H&H Export 0-0
Nov 13 Real Este… vs Jalapa 0-1
Nov 07 Real Este… vs Jalapa 5-1
Oct 20 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Oct 05 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 1-3
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Managua FC 4-0
Walter Ferretti Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 3-0
Dec 15 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 1-1
Dec 08 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 1-4
Dec 01 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-0
Nov 10 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 0-0
Nov 02 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 0-2
Oct 27 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-0
Oct 20 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 1-1
Oct 07 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-1
Sep 15 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Dec 08, 2024 Walter Ferretti 1 - 4 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Walter Ferretti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Walter Ferretti Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.