AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Dec 15, 2024

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:00

Walter Ferretti

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Walter Ferretti Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.03 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Walter Ferretti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Real Estelí Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-4
Nov 21 Real Este… vs Managua FC 0-1
Nov 18 Real Este… vs H&H Export 0-0
Nov 13 Real Este… vs Jalapa 0-1
Nov 07 Real Este… vs Jalapa 5-1
Oct 20 Real Este… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Oct 05 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 1-3
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Managua FC 4-0
Sep 19 Real Este… vs H&H Export 0-0
Aug 03 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 5-0
Walter Ferretti Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 1-4
Dec 01 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-0
Nov 10 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 0-0
Nov 02 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 0-2
Oct 27 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-0
Oct 20 Walter Fe… vs Real Este… 1-1
Oct 07 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-1
Sep 15 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 1-1
Aug 26 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 2-1
Aug 18 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Walter Ferretti struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2024 Walter Ferretti 1 - 4 Real Estelí Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2024 Real Estelí 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Walter Ferretti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Walter Ferretti Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.