AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Oct 20, 2024

Real Estelí

Home
VS
00:00

Walter Ferretti

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Real Estelí Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Walter Ferretti Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.39 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Estelí Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Walter Ferretti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Real Estelí Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 1-3
Sep 22 Real Este… vs Managua FC 4-0
Sep 19 Real Este… vs H&H Export 0-0
Aug 03 Real Este… vs Rancho Sa… 5-0
Apr 10 Real Este… vs H&H Export 2-0
Apr 03 Real Este… vs Jalapa 5-0
Feb 28 Real Este… vs H&H Export 2-3
Jan 27 Real Este… vs Jalapa 2-0
Sep 30 Real Este… vs Jalapa 2-0
Aug 05 Real Este… vs Jalapa 4-0
Walter Ferretti Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-1
Sep 15 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 1-1
Aug 26 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 2-1
Aug 18 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 3-1
Aug 04 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 1-0
Apr 26 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 1-0
Apr 14 Walter Fe… vs H&H Export 0-3
Apr 10 Walter Fe… vs Managua FC 1-1
Mar 18 Walter Fe… vs Matagalpa 2-1
Mar 11 Walter Fe… vs Diriangén 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Estelí in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Estelí Power 0
Walter Ferretti Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Walter Ferretti Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.