AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Feb 07, 2025

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
20:05

Monaco

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Monaco Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.89 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.4 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Paris Saint Germain Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lens 0-2
Jan 05 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 1-0
Dec 22 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lens 1-1
Dec 18 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 2-4
Dec 15 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lyon 3-1
Dec 06 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Auxerre 0-0
Nov 26 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Bayern Muā€¦ 1-0
Oct 27 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Marseille 0-3
Oct 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 4-2
Sep 27 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 3-1
Monaco Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Monaco vs Auxerre 4-2
Jan 29 Monaco vs Inter 3-0
Jan 25 Monaco vs Rennes FC 3-2
Jan 17 Monaco vs Montpelliā€¦ 2-1
Jan 14 Monaco vs Reims 1-1
Jan 10 Monaco vs Nantes 2-2
Jan 05 Monaco vs Paris Saiā€¦ 1-0
Dec 18 Monaco vs Paris Saiā€¦ 2-4
Dec 18 Monaco vs Paris FC 2-4
Dec 14 Monaco vs Reims 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 05, 2025 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Monaco TrophĆ©e des Chā€¦
Dec 18, 2024 Monaco 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Mar 01, 2024 Monaco 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Nov 24, 2023 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 2 Monaco Ligue 1
Feb 11, 2023 Monaco 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Aug 28, 2022 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 20, 2022 Monaco 3 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1
Dec 12, 2021 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
May 19, 2021 Monaco 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Coupe de France
Final Verdict

PRO: Paris Saint Germain to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Monaco Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Monaco Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.