AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Mar 08, 2025

Fortuna Sittard

Home
VS
15:30

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Fortuna Sittard Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Heracles Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.30 - 1.72
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%) 0-2 (20%) 0-0 (13%) 0-3 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Fortuna Sittard Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Fortuna S… vs Ajax Women 0-1
Feb 28 Fortuna S… vs Waalwijk 1-2
Feb 23 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Feb 09 Fortuna S… vs AZ 2-0
Feb 09 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 0-2
Feb 01 Fortuna S… vs Heerenveen 2-2
Jan 26 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 1-4
Jan 19 Fortuna S… vs Nijmegen 4-1
Jan 10 Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … 0-3
Jan 10 Fortuna S… vs GO Ahead … 0-3
Heracles Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Heracles vs Zwolle 4-2
Feb 27 Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar 2-2
Feb 16 Heracles vs Ajax 4-0
Feb 08 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 4-2
Feb 04 Heracles vs Utrecht 2-0
Jan 31 Heracles vs NAC Breda 1-1
Jan 28 Heracles vs Groningen 1-1
Jan 24 Heracles vs Utrecht 1-1
Jan 19 Heracles vs Almere Ci… 0-2
Jan 16 Heracles vs De Graafs… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heracles in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Fortuna Sittard struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2024 Heracles 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Dec 07, 2024 Heracles 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Nov 10, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 4 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Apr 03, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Heracles Eredivisie
Nov 20, 2021 Heracles 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 05, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Dec 11, 2020 Heracles 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortuna Sittard to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Fortuna Sittard Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.