AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Dec 07, 2024

Heracles

Home
VS
20:00

Fortuna Sittard

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Heracles Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Fortuna Sittard Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.92 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Heracles Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 01 Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Nov 23 Heracles vs Waalwijk 2-2
Nov 08 Heracles vs Utrecht 1-0
Nov 02 Heracles vs NAC Breda 2-0
Oct 31 Heracles vs Sparta Ro… 1-6
Oct 27 Heracles vs FC Twente 5-0
Oct 27 Heracles vs FC Twente 5-0
Oct 20 Heracles vs Ajax 3-4
Oct 06 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 4-1
Oct 06 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 4-1
Fortuna Sittard Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Fortuna S… vs Feyenoord 1-1
Nov 23 Fortuna S… vs FC Twente 1-2
Nov 09 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 3-1
Nov 09 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 3-1
Nov 02 Fortuna S… vs Heerenveen 3-0
Oct 26 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 1-0
Oct 26 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 1-0
Oct 20 Fortuna S… vs Willem II 0-0
Oct 06 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Oct 06 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heracles struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Fortuna Sittard struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Nov 10, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 4 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Apr 03, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Heracles Eredivisie
Nov 20, 2021 Heracles 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 05, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Dec 11, 2020 Heracles 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heracles Power 0
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Heracles Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Fortuna Sittard Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.