AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 05, 2021

Fortuna Sittard

Home
VS
19:00

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Fortuna Sittard Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Heracles Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.56 - 1.55
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Fortuna Sittard Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 1-2
Jan 16 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 0-2
Jan 13 Fortuna S… vs Sparta Ro… 0-1
Dec 11 Fortuna S… vs Heracles 1-2
Nov 06 Fortuna S… vs Zwolle 2-2
Oct 31 Fortuna S… vs Ajax 5-2
Oct 25 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 1-3
Sep 26 Fortuna S… vs AZ Alkmaar 3-3
Heracles Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Heracles vs Heerenveen 1-0
Jan 20 Heracles vs Feyenoord 3-2
Dec 20 Heracles vs Heerenveen 1-2
Dec 11 Heracles vs Fortuna S… 1-2
Dec 06 Heracles vs Feyenoord 0-0
Oct 28 Heracles vs Telstar 3-0
Sep 27 Heracles vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Aug 25 Heracles vs Telstar 4-0
Aug 15 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2020 Heracles 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortuna Sittard to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Fortuna Sittard Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.