AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 22, 2023

NAC Breda

Home
VS
11:00

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Excelsior Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
NAC Breda Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 NAC Breda vs Telstar 2-1
Nov 04 NAC Breda vs Telstar 1-1
May 06 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 2-2
Mar 14 NAC Breda vs Telstar 1-4
Feb 08 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindh… 4-0
Dec 14 NAC Breda vs Utrecht 3-2
Oct 01 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 4-1
Aug 13 NAC Breda vs Telstar 2-2
Jul 23 NAC Breda vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
May 23 NAC Breda vs Nijmegen 1-2
Excelsior Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Excelsior vs PSV Eindh… 4-0
Apr 01 Excelsior vs FC Twente 0-0
Feb 25 Excelsior vs Groningen 3-0
Feb 10 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 5-0
Jan 29 Excelsior vs Ajax 1-4
Jan 11 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 1-4
Jan 08 Excelsior vs Groningen 1-0
Oct 23 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 2-1
Oct 16 Excelsior vs Ajax 7-1
Aug 31 Excelsior vs FC Twente 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Excelsior struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.