AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 09, 2022

NAC Breda

Home
VS
17:00

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Excelsior Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 3.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
NAC Breda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 2-2
Mar 14 NAC Breda vs Telstar 1-4
Feb 08 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindh… 4-0
Dec 14 NAC Breda vs Utrecht 3-2
Oct 01 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 4-1
Aug 13 NAC Breda vs Telstar 2-2
Jul 23 NAC Breda vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
May 23 NAC Breda vs Nijmegen 1-2
May 03 NAC Breda vs Nijmegen 0-2
Apr 23 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 1-2
Excelsior Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 2-2
Apr 08 Excelsior vs Telstar 1-4
Dec 15 Excelsior vs Groningen 2-4
Nov 06 Excelsior vs Telstar 2-5
Oct 01 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 4-1
Apr 23 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 1-2
Apr 16 Excelsior vs Telstar 1-1
Jan 03 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 0-3
Sep 22 Excelsior vs Telstar 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • NAC Breda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Excelsior struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.