AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Apr 23, 2021

NAC Breda

Home
VS
16:45

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 61.7% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
61.7%
Draw
21.7%
Excelsior Win
16.7%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (40%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
NAC Breda Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 NAC Breda vs Telstar 1-2
Jan 03 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 0-3
Nov 14 NAC Breda vs Telstar 1-0
Oct 30 NAC Breda vs Nijmegen 0-1
Aug 22 NAC Breda vs Sparta Ro… 1-1
Excelsior Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Excelsior vs Telstar 1-1
Jan 03 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 0-3
Sep 22 Excelsior vs Telstar 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • NAC Breda in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NAC Breda to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.