AI Match Insights

Serie A Mar 01, 2024

Lazio

Home
VS
19:45

AC Milan

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AC Milan Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.03 - 1.79
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Lazio Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Lazio vs Fiorentina 2-1
Feb 26 Lazio vs Fiorentina 2-1
Feb 22 Lazio vs Torino 0-2
Feb 18 Lazio vs Bologna 1-2
Feb 18 Lazio vs Bologna 1-2
Feb 14 Lazio vs Bayern Mu… 1-0
Feb 10 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-3
Feb 10 Lazio vs Cagliari 1-3
Feb 04 Lazio vs Atalanta 3-1
Jan 28 Lazio vs Napoli 0-0
AC Milan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 AC Milan vs Atalanta 1-1
Feb 22 AC Milan vs Rennes FC 3-2
Feb 18 AC Milan vs Monza 4-2
Feb 15 AC Milan vs Rennes FC 3-0
Feb 11 AC Milan vs Napoli 1-0
Feb 11 AC Milan vs Napoli 1-0
Feb 03 AC Milan vs Frosinone 2-3
Jan 27 AC Milan vs Bologna 2-2
Jan 27 AC Milan vs Bologna 2-2
Jan 20 AC Milan vs Udinese 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lazio struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
May 06, 2023 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Jan 24, 2023 Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 24, 2022 Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Feb 09, 2022 AC Milan 4 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Apr 26, 2021 Lazio 3 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lazio Power 36
AC Milan Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Lazio Position

-6

Position Gap

2

AC Milan Position

Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.