AI Match Insights
Serie A Mar 01, 2024
Lazio
HomeVS
19:45
AC Milan
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Lazio Win
Draw
AC Milan Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.03 - 1.79
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
Lazio Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26 | Lazio vs Fiorentina | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Lazio vs Fiorentina | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lazio vs Torino | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | Lazio vs Bologna | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Lazio vs Bologna | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio vs Bayern Mu… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Lazio vs Cagliari | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Lazio vs Cagliari | 1-3 |
| Feb 04 | Lazio vs Atalanta | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Lazio vs Napoli | 0-0 |
AC Milan Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | AC Milan vs Rennes FC | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | AC Milan vs Monza | 4-2 |
| Feb 15 | AC Milan vs Rennes FC | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | AC Milan vs Napoli | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | AC Milan vs Napoli | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | AC Milan vs Frosinone | 2-3 |
| Jan 27 | AC Milan vs Bologna | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | AC Milan vs Bologna | 2-2 |
| Jan 20 | AC Milan vs Udinese | 2-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lazio struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | AC Milan | 2 - 0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| May 06, 2023 | AC Milan | 2 - 0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Lazio | 4 - 0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Lazio | 1 - 2 | AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 09, 2022 | AC Milan | 4 - 0 | Lazio | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2021 | AC Milan | 2 - 0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2021 | Lazio | 3 - 0 | AC Milan | Serie A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lazio Power
36
AC Milan Power
45
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
8
Lazio Position-6
Position Gap2
AC Milan Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.