AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 06, 2023

AC Milan

Home
VS
13:00

Lazio

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
AC Milan Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Lazio Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 37%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 0.73 - 1.61
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AC Milan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Lazio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
AC Milan Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-0
Apr 18 AC Milan vs Napoli 1-1
Apr 15 AC Milan vs Bologna 1-1
Apr 12 AC Milan vs Napoli 1-0
Apr 02 AC Milan vs Napoli 0-4
Mar 04 AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1
Feb 10 AC Milan vs Torino 1-0
Jan 29 AC Milan vs Sassuolo 2-5
Jan 24 AC Milan vs Lazio 4-0
Jan 14 AC Milan vs Lecce 2-2
Lazio Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Lazio vs Bologna 0-0
Mar 03 Lazio vs Napoli 0-1
Feb 06 Lazio vs Verona 1-1
Jan 29 Lazio vs Fiorentina 1-1
Jan 24 Lazio vs AC Milan 4-0
Jan 19 Lazio vs Bologna 1-0
Jan 04 Lazio vs Lecce 2-1
Oct 16 Lazio vs Udinese 0-0
Oct 10 Lazio vs Fiorentina 0-4
Sep 18 Lazio vs Cremonese 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2023 Lazio 4 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Apr 24, 2022 Lazio 1 - 2 AC Milan Serie A
Feb 09, 2022 AC Milan 4 - 0 Lazio Coppa Italia
Sep 12, 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Lazio Serie A
Apr 26, 2021 Lazio 3 - 0 AC Milan Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: AC Milan to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AC Milan Power 45
Lazio Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AC Milan Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Lazio Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.