AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Jan 01, 2024

Swansea

Home
VS
15:00

West Brom

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Swansea Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
West Brom Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.74 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Swansea Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
West Brom Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Swansea Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Swansea vs Coventry 2-2
Dec 29 Swansea vs Coventry 2-2
Dec 26 Swansea vs Southampt… 5-0
Dec 22 Swansea vs Preston 2-1
Dec 22 Swansea vs Preston 2-1
Dec 16 Swansea vs Middlesbr… 1-2
Dec 12 Swansea vs Stoke City 1-1
Dec 12 Swansea vs Stoke City 1-1
Dec 09 Swansea vs Rotherham… 1-2
Dec 02 Swansea vs Huddersfi… 1-1
West Brom Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 West Brom vs Leeds 1-0
Dec 28 West Brom vs Arsenal 0-2
Dec 26 West Brom vs Norwich C… 1-0
Dec 26 West Brom vs Norwich C… 1-0
Dec 23 West Brom vs Middlesbr… 1-0
Dec 23 West Brom vs Mancheste… 2-0
Dec 23 West Brom vs Middlesbr… 1-0
Dec 23 West Brom vs Mancheste… 2-0
Dec 20 West Brom vs Liverpool 5-1
Dec 17 West Brom vs Wolves 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • West Brom in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 West Brom 3 - 2 Swansea Championship
May 08, 2023 Swansea 3 - 2 West Brom Championship
Oct 01, 2022 West Brom 2 - 3 Swansea Championship
Feb 28, 2022 West Brom 0 - 2 Swansea Championship
Oct 20, 2021 Swansea 2 - 1 West Brom Championship
Final Verdict

PRO: Swansea to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Swansea Power 34
West Brom Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Swansea Position

+6

Position Gap

22

West Brom Position
Home Win Rate: 47%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.