AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Oct 22, 2023

Baroka FC

Home
VS
13:30

Black Leopards

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Baroka FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Black Leopards Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Baroka FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Black Leopards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Baroka FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Baroka FC vs Venda FC 0-1
May 14 Baroka FC vs TTM 0-1
Apr 02 Baroka FC vs Black Leo… 1-0
Feb 18 Baroka FC vs Venda FC 3-1
Oct 01 Baroka FC vs Venda FC 1-0
Sep 18 Baroka FC vs Black Leo… 0-1
Feb 20 Baroka FC vs Black Leo… 2-1
Oct 27 Baroka FC vs Black Leo… 1-3
Black Leopards Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Black Leo… vs Upington … 1-0
May 14 Black Leo… vs Venda FC 1-0
Apr 22 Black Leo… vs Hungry Li… 0-0
Apr 09 Black Leo… vs TTM 2-0
Apr 02 Black Leo… vs Baroka FC 1-0
Jan 14 Black Leo… vs Venda FC 1-1
Sep 18 Black Leo… vs Baroka FC 0-1
Sep 03 Black Leo… vs Hungry Li… 0-1
May 08 Black Leo… vs Venda FC 1-1
Mar 05 Black Leo… vs Hungry Li… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Baroka FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2023 Baroka FC 1 - 0 Black Leopards 1st Division
Sep 18, 2022 Black Leopards 0 - 1 Baroka FC 1st Division
Feb 20, 2021 Baroka FC 2 - 1 Black Leopards Premier Soccer…
Oct 27, 2020 Black Leopards 1 - 3 Baroka FC Premier Soccer…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Baroka FC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baroka FC Power 0
Black Leopards Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Baroka FC Position

+1

Position Gap

16

Black Leopards Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.