AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 08, 2025

Sydney

Home
VS
08:35

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sydney Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Sydney Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Sydney vs Melbourne… 2-0
Jan 15 Sydney vs Wellingto… 0-0
Jan 11 Sydney vs Central C… 4-1
Jan 08 Sydney vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Jan 04 Sydney vs Newcastle… 2-2
Dec 28 Sydney vs Melbourne… 3-0
Dec 08 Sydney vs Central C… 2-1
Nov 23 Sydney vs Western S… 4-2
Nov 10 Sydney vs Macarthur… 1-2
Oct 27 Sydney vs Auckland 1-0
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Western S… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Jan 26 Western S… vs Auckland 0-1
Jan 17 Western S… vs Central C… 1-3
Jan 14 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Jan 04 Western S… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Jan 01 Western S… vs Macarthur… 2-3
Dec 27 Western S… vs Adelaide … 2-3
Dec 14 Western S… vs Brisbane … 2-2
Nov 23 Western S… vs Sydney 4-2
Nov 08 Western S… vs Newcastle… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 Sydney 4 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Oct 19, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Sydney A-League
Apr 13, 2024 Sydney 2 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Mar 02, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 4 Sydney A-League
Nov 25, 2023 Sydney 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
May 06, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Sydney A-League
Mar 18, 2023 Sydney 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Feb 11, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Sydney A-League
Nov 12, 2022 Sydney 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sydney to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sydney Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.