AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 23, 2024

Sydney

Home
VS
08:35

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sydney Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.90 - 1.45
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Sydney Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Sydney vs Macarthur… 1-2
Oct 27 Sydney vs Auckland 1-0
Oct 19 Sydney vs Western S… 1-2
Sep 01 Sydney vs Rockdale … 3-1
Aug 28 Sydney vs APIA Leic… 1-2
Aug 25 Sydney vs St George… 1-0
Aug 18 Sydney vs Manly Uni… 0-2
Aug 11 Sydney vs Western S… 0-2
Aug 04 Sydney vs Sydney II 0-0
Jul 27 Sydney vs Marconi S… 2-1
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Western S… vs Newcastle… 4-1
Nov 02 Western S… vs Adelaide … 3-4
Oct 19 Western S… vs Sydney 1-2
Sep 12 Western S… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Aug 17 Western S… vs Auckland 4-2
Apr 27 Western S… vs Melbourne… 3-4
Apr 20 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Apr 13 Western S… vs Sydney 2-1
Apr 05 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Apr 01 Western S… vs Macarthur… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Sydney A-League
Apr 13, 2024 Sydney 2 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Mar 02, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 4 Sydney A-League
Nov 25, 2023 Sydney 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
May 06, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Sydney A-League
Mar 18, 2023 Sydney 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Feb 11, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 1 Sydney A-League
Nov 12, 2022 Sydney 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sydney to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sydney Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.