AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 03, 2024

Sydney FC Women

Home
VS
08:00

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sydney FC Women Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Canberra United Women Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.86 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Sydney FC Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Dec 22 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Dec 17 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 0-0
Dec 10 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Nov 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-3
Nov 19 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Oct 21 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 1-0
Oct 14 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Apr 22 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Apr 01 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 4-0
Canberra United Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Canberra … vs Central C… 0-3
Dec 16 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Dec 10 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 5-1
Nov 26 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 3-4
Nov 04 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Oct 21 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Oct 15 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 4-4
Apr 02 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 3-3
Mar 18 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 12 Canberra … vs Western S… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Canberra United Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 1 Sydney FC Women W-League
Jan 15, 2022 Sydney FC Women 6 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Apr 05, 2021 Sydney FC Women 3 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Sydney FC Women Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.