AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 11, 2023

Canberra United Women

Home
VS
06:00

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Canberra United Women Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Sydney FC Women Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.07 - 3.28
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 1-3 (3%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Canberra United Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 0-3
Jan 21 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 5-0
Jan 14 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 5-1
Jan 07 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 0-2
Dec 31 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-0
Dec 23 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 0-4
Dec 18 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Dec 10 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 3-0
Nov 26 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Nov 19 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Sydney FC Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Jan 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 3-6
Jan 07 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 2-4
Dec 31 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 1-4
Dec 24 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Dec 10 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 4-0
Dec 03 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-1
Nov 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Nov 20 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Mar 27 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Canberra United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2022 Sydney FC Women 6 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Apr 05, 2021 Sydney FC Women 3 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Canberra United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Canberra United Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Canberra United Women Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.