AI Match Insights

W-League Jan 15, 2022

Sydney FC Women

Home
VS
06:05

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Sydney FC Women Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Canberra United Women Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.66 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Sydney FC Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 4-0
Dec 30 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 0-5
Dec 27 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-0
Dec 19 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 3-0
Dec 11 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-2
Dec 04 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 3-1
Apr 11 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Apr 05 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 3-0
Mar 26 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 0-0
Mar 06 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Canberra United Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 1-3
Jan 05 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 0-0
Dec 23 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 3-3
Dec 12 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Dec 03 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Apr 05 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Mar 26 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 0-0
Mar 20 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 0-1
Mar 12 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Mar 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Canberra United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 05, 2021 Sydney FC Women 3 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Sydney FC Women Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position

Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.