AI Match Insights

W-League Apr 05, 2021

Sydney FC Women

Home
VS
05:00

Canberra United Women

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Sydney FC Women Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Canberra United Women Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 3.22 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Sydney FC Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 0-0
Mar 06 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Feb 25 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 2-6
Feb 21 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Feb 14 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 1-4
Feb 08 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 4-0
Jan 31 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Jan 16 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Jan 08 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Dec 30 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-3
Canberra United Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 0-0
Mar 20 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 0-1
Mar 12 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Mar 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 4-1
Feb 28 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 14 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Feb 08 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Jan 30 Canberra … vs Western S… 3-0
Jan 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 03 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Canberra United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Canberra United Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Sydney FC Women Position

-7

Position Gap

4

Canberra United Women Position

Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.