AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 26, 2021

Canberra United Women

Home
VS
06:35

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Canberra United Women Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Sydney FC Women Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 3.57 - 2.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 2.1 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Canberra United Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 0-1
Mar 12 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-3
Mar 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 4-1
Feb 28 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 14 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Feb 08 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 4-0
Jan 30 Canberra … vs Western S… 3-0
Jan 07 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 03 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 30 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 4-3
Sydney FC Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Feb 25 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 2-6
Feb 21 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Feb 14 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 1-4
Feb 08 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 4-0
Jan 31 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Jan 16 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 2-0
Jan 08 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Dec 30 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Canberra United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Canberra United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Canberra United Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Canberra United Women Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.