AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Mar 15, 2025

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Home
VS
17:00

Tirana

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Tirana Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.75 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Tirana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 2-0
Mar 02 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 1-1
Feb 26 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-2
Feb 15 Egnatia R… vs Partizani 2-0
Feb 09 Egnatia R… vs AF Elbasa… 1-2
Feb 05 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 1-3
Jan 31 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 2-1
Jan 26 Egnatia R… vs Vllaznia … 0-2
Jan 18 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 0-4
Dec 21 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 2-1
Tirana Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 0-0
Mar 02 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 1-4
Feb 22 Tirana vs Teuta Dur… 2-1
Feb 16 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 1-0
Feb 09 Tirana vs Partizani 1-1
Feb 01 Tirana vs AF Elbasa… 1-1
Jan 25 Tirana vs Bylis 0-3
Jan 18 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 0-4
Jan 14 Tirana vs Bylis 1-2
Jan 10 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2025 Tirana 0 - 4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Nov 03, 2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 - 0 Tirana Superliga
Sep 01, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
May 11, 2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 3 Tirana Superliga
Mar 10, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Dec 24, 2023 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 5 Tirana Superliga
Oct 23, 2023 Tirana 2 - 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Jun 01, 2023 Tirana 0 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Power 0
Tirana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Tirana Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.