AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Jan 18, 2025

Tirana

Home
VS
15:30

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Tirana Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.45 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.3
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tirana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Tirana Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Tirana vs Bylis 1-2
Jan 10 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 2-1
Dec 14 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 2-1
Dec 09 Tirana vs Teuta Dur… 0-0
Dec 05 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 0-0
Dec 01 Tirana vs Partizani 0-0
Nov 24 Tirana vs AF Elbasa… 1-1
Nov 10 Tirana vs Bylis 4-0
Nov 03 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 1-0
Oct 30 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 3-4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 2-1
Dec 15 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 2-1
Dec 05 Egnatia R… vs Partizani 1-1
Nov 30 Egnatia R… vs AF Elbasa… 3-1
Nov 24 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 0-2
Nov 09 Egnatia R… vs Vllaznia … 1-1
Nov 03 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 1-0
Oct 25 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 1-1
Oct 19 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 0-0
Sep 27 Egnatia R… vs Partizani 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tirana struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 03, 2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 - 0 Tirana Superliga
Sep 01, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
May 11, 2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 3 Tirana Superliga
Mar 10, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Dec 24, 2023 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 5 Tirana Superliga
Oct 23, 2023 Tirana 2 - 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Jun 01, 2023 Tirana 0 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tirana Power 0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tirana Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.