AI Match Insights

Superliga Nov 03, 2024

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Home
VS
13:00

Tirana

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Tirana Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.71 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Tirana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 1-1
Oct 19 Egnatia R… vs Teuta Dur… 0-0
Sep 27 Egnatia R… vs Partizani 0-2
Sep 22 Egnatia R… vs AF Elbasa… 0-0
Sep 15 Egnatia R… vs Bylis 4-0
Sep 11 Egnatia R… vs Vllaznia … 3-1
Sep 01 Egnatia R… vs Tirana 1-1
Aug 18 Egnatia R… vs Dinamo Ti… 0-2
May 26 Egnatia R… vs Partizani 0-1
May 19 Egnatia R… vs Vllaznia … 0-0
Tirana Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 3-4
Oct 19 Tirana vs Dinamo Ti… 0-0
Oct 06 Tirana vs Teuta Dur… 3-1
Sep 29 Tirana vs Skenderbe… 2-1
Sep 21 Tirana vs Partizani 0-0
Sep 16 Tirana vs AF Elbasa… 1-1
Sep 11 Tirana vs Bylis 2-2
Sep 01 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 1-1
Aug 25 Tirana vs Vllaznia … 2-2
May 11 Tirana vs Egnatia R… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
May 11, 2024 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 3 Tirana Superliga
Mar 10, 2024 Tirana 1 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Dec 24, 2023 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 5 Tirana Superliga
Oct 23, 2023 Tirana 2 - 3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Superliga
Jun 01, 2023 Tirana 0 - 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Power 0
Tirana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Tirana Position

Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.