AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Süper Lig Dec 21, 2025

Alanyaspor

Home
VS
11:30

Fatih Karagümrük

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Alanyaspor Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fatih Karagümrük Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.53 - 0.64
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alanyaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Fatih Karagümrük Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (6%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Alanyaspor Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Alanyaspor vs Trabzonsp… 0-1
Dec 13 Alanyaspor vs Kayserisp… 0-0
Dec 08 Alanyaspor vs Antalyasp… 0-0
Dec 04 Alanyaspor vs Yeni Çoru… 0-5
Dec 01 Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor 1-1
Nov 23 Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa 1-2
Nov 08 Alanyaspor vs Trabzonsp… 1-1
Nov 03 Alanyaspor vs Gazişehir… 0-0
Oct 29 Alanyaspor vs Bursa Yıl… 1-2
Oct 25 Alanyaspor vs Kocaelisp… 2-0
Fatih Karagümrük Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 17 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbuls… 0-0
Dec 14 Fatih Kar… vs Kocaelisp… 1-1
Dec 07 Fatih Kar… vs Genclerbi… 3-0
Dec 03 Fatih Kar… vs Erokspor 2-5
Nov 30 Fatih Kar… vs Besiktas 0-2
Nov 22 Fatih Kar… vs Eyüpspor 1-1
Nov 09 Fatih Kar… vs Konyaspor 2-0
Nov 03 Fatih Kar… vs Rizespor 1-0
Oct 24 Fatih Kar… vs Kayserisp… 2-2
Oct 19 Fatih Kar… vs Fenerbahce 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alanyaspor to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alanyaspor Power 0
Fatih Karagümrük Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Alanyaspor Position

+8

Position Gap

18

Fatih Karagümrük Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.