AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Sep 29, 2024

Guastatoya

Home
VS
20:00

Achuapa

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Guastatoya Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Achuapa Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.32 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Guastatoya Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-1
Aug 11 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 1-0
Mar 10 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 3-0
Mar 03 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-1
Feb 28 Guastatoya vs Mixco 2-1
Feb 18 Guastatoya vs Municipal 0-1
Feb 11 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 2-1
Feb 04 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 0-1
Jan 31 Guastatoya vs Mixco 0-0
Jan 20 Guastatoya vs Municipal 5-1
Achuapa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 1-0
Aug 25 Achuapa vs Marquense 3-0
Aug 21 Achuapa vs Municipal 3-0
Aug 17 Achuapa vs Mixco 0-1
Aug 11 Achuapa vs XelajĂş 0-0
Aug 03 Achuapa vs Malacatec… 0-2
Apr 27 Achuapa vs Mixco 2-1
Apr 24 Achuapa vs Mixco 0-2
Apr 21 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 1-3
Apr 14 Achuapa vs Malacatec… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guastatoya struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Guastatoya 1 - 1 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Feb 04, 2024 Achuapa 0 - 1 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Sep 24, 2023 Guastatoya 1 - 2 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Aug 19, 2023 Achuapa 1 - 3 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Apr 15, 2023 Achuapa 3 - 2 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guastatoya Power 0
Achuapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Guastatoya Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Achuapa Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.