AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Mar 03, 2024

Guastatoya

Home
VS
17:00

Achuapa

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Guastatoya Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Achuapa Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Guastatoya Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Guastatoya vs Mixco 2-1
Feb 18 Guastatoya vs Municipal 0-1
Feb 11 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 2-1
Feb 04 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 0-1
Jan 31 Guastatoya vs Mixco 0-0
Jan 20 Guastatoya vs Municipal 5-1
Sep 24 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-2
Sep 21 Guastatoya vs Municipal 3-1
Sep 16 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-0
Aug 19 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-3
Achuapa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Achuapa vs Municipal 4-1
Feb 10 Achuapa vs Mixco 1-0
Feb 04 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 0-1
Jan 28 Achuapa vs Municipal 2-0
Dec 03 Achuapa vs Xelajú 1-3
Dec 01 Achuapa vs Xelajú 3-1
Nov 26 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-0
Sep 24 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-2
Aug 19 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-3
May 15 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Achuapa struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Achuapa 0 - 1 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Sep 24, 2023 Guastatoya 1 - 2 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Aug 19, 2023 Achuapa 1 - 3 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Apr 15, 2023 Achuapa 3 - 2 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guastatoya Power 0
Achuapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Guastatoya Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Achuapa Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.