AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 04, 2024

Achuapa

Home
VS
21:00

Guastatoya

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Achuapa Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Guastatoya Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.30 - 1.14
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Achuapa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Achuapa vs Municipal 2-0
Dec 03 Achuapa vs Xelajú 1-3
Dec 01 Achuapa vs Xelajú 3-1
Nov 26 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-0
Sep 24 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-2
Aug 19 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 1-3
May 15 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 4-1
May 11 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-0
Apr 15 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 3-2
Apr 05 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 0-2
Guastatoya Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Guastatoya vs Mixco 0-0
Jan 20 Guastatoya vs Municipal 5-1
Sep 24 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-2
Sep 21 Guastatoya vs Municipal 3-1
Sep 16 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-0
Aug 19 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-3
Aug 13 Guastatoya vs Mixco 2-1
Jul 29 Guastatoya vs Municipal 0-1
Apr 29 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-1
Apr 15 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Achuapa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Guastatoya struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2023 Guastatoya 1 - 2 Achuapa Liga Nacional
Aug 19, 2023 Achuapa 1 - 3 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Apr 15, 2023 Achuapa 3 - 2 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Achuapa Power 0
Guastatoya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Achuapa Position

+4

Position Gap

11

Guastatoya Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.