AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Jan 26, 2025

Nantes

Home
VS
16:15

Lyon

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Nantes Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lyon Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.62 - 1.14
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Nantes Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 19 Nantes vs St Etienne 1-1
Jan 15 Nantes vs Stade Bre… 2-1
Jan 10 Nantes vs Monaco 2-2
Jan 04 Nantes vs Lille 1-1
Dec 15 Nantes vs Brest 4-1
Dec 08 Nantes vs Rennes FC 1-0
Nov 30 Nantes vs Paris FC 1-1
Nov 24 Nantes vs LE Havre … 0-2
Nov 09 Nantes vs Lens 3-2
Nov 09 Nantes vs Lens 3-2
Lyon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Lyon vs Toulouse 0-0
Jan 11 Lyon vs Stade Bre… 2-1
Jan 11 Lyon vs Brest 2-1
Jan 04 Lyon vs Montpelli… 1-0
Dec 21 Lyon vs Feignies-… 1-2
Dec 15 Lyon vs Paris Sai… 3-1
Dec 15 Lyon vs Paris FC 3-1
Dec 07 Lyon vs Angers 0-3
Dec 01 Lyon vs Nice 4-1
Nov 23 Lyon vs Reims 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Pro League
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1 - 0 Lyon Coupe de France
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1 - 1 Nantes Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0 - 0 Lyon Ligue 1
May 14, 2022 Lyon 3 - 2 Nantes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lyon to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nantes Power 26
Lyon Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Nantes Position

-12

Position Gap

4

Lyon Position

Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.