AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Dec 20, 2023
Lyon
HomeVS
20:00
Nantes
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Lyon Win
Draw
Nantes Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.99 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.7
Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
Lyon Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 15 | Lyon vs Monaco | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Lyon vs Monaco | 0-1 |
| Dec 10 | Lyon vs Toulouse | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Lyon vs Marseille | 3-0 |
| Dec 02 | Lyon vs Lens | 3-2 |
| Nov 26 | Lyon vs Lille | 0-2 |
| Nov 26 | Lyon vs Lille | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Lyon vs Metz | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Lyon vs Lorient | 3-3 |
| Sep 23 | Lyon vs Stade Bre… | 1-0 |
Nantes Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | Nantes vs Brest | 0-2 |
| Dec 09 | Nantes vs Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Nantes vs Nice | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Nantes vs Nice | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Nantes vs LE Havre … | 0-0 |
| Oct 28 | Nantes vs Lens | 4-0 |
| Sep 23 | Nantes vs Lorient | 5-3 |
| Sep 01 | Nantes vs Marseille | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Nantes vs Lorient | 3-1 |
| Jul 23 | Nantes vs Angers | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lyon in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1 - 0 | Lyon | Coupe de France |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1 - 1 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0 - 0 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2022 | Lyon | 3 - 2 | Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Nantes | 0 - 1 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Nantes | 1 - 2 | Lyon | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lyon to win (92% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
92% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lyon Power
42
Nantes Power
26
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
Lyon Position+12
Position Gap16
Nantes Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.