AI Match Insights

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Eredivisie Dec 21, 2024

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
19:00

FC Twente

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
AZ Alkmaar Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
FC Twente Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.48 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
AZ Alkmaar Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen 3-1
Dec 15 AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda 1-2
Dec 08 AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax 2-1
Dec 08 AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax 2-1
Dec 01 AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles 1-0
Nov 24 AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
Nov 10 AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II 1-2
Nov 02 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord 3-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 2-2
Oct 27 AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead … 2-2
FC Twente Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 FC Twente vs Katwijk 2-3
Dec 15 FC Twente vs Groningen 2-0
Dec 06 FC Twente vs PSV Eindh… 6-1
Dec 01 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 3-2
Dec 01 FC Twente vs GO Ahead … 3-2
Nov 23 FC Twente vs Fortuna S… 1-2
Nov 10 FC Twente vs Ajax 2-2
Nov 02 FC Twente vs Willem II 0-1
Oct 27 FC Twente vs Heracles 5-0
Oct 27 FC Twente vs Heracles 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AZ Alkmaar in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • FC Twente in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
May 05, 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 FC Twente Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Mar 19, 2023 FC Twente 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Sep 11, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
Mar 13, 2022 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 1 FC Twente Eredivisie
Jan 19, 2022 FC Twente 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar KNVB Beker
Sep 23, 2021 FC Twente 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AZ Alkmaar Power 0
FC Twente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

AZ Alkmaar Position

+1

Position Gap

7

FC Twente Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.