AI Match Insights
Jupiler Pro League Jan 11, 2025
Gent
HomeVS
17:15
OH Leuven
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Gent Win
Draw
OH Leuven Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.35 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.3
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%)
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Gent Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 07 | Gent vs St. Truid… | 0-4 |
| Dec 26 | Gent vs St. Gillo… | 1-3 |
| Dec 26 | Gent vs Antwerp | 2-2 |
| Dec 26 | Gent vs Union Sai… | 1-3 |
| Dec 26 | Gent vs Antwerp | 2-2 |
| Dec 22 | Gent vs Anderlecht | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | Gent vs Standard … | 0-1 |
| Dec 22 | Gent vs Anderlecht | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | Gent vs Standard … | 0-1 |
| Dec 15 | Gent vs Cercle Br… | 1-1 |
OH Leuven Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 07 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 3-0 |
| Dec 22 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | OH Leuven vs Standard … | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | OH Leuven vs Zulte War… | 5-0 |
| Nov 24 | OH Leuven vs Union Sai… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… | 0-1 |
| Oct 30 | OH Leuven vs Seraing U… | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | OH Leuven vs Mechelen | 5-0 |
| Sep 29 | OH Leuven vs Gent | 3-0 |
| Sep 15 | OH Leuven vs St. Truid… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Gent | 3 - 0 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Aug 03, 2024 | OH Leuven | 3 - 1 | Gent | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| May 12, 2024 | Gent | 0 - 1 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Apr 14, 2024 | OH Leuven | 2 - 1 | Gent | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jan 31, 2024 | OH Leuven | 2 - 1 | Gent | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Gent | 4 - 0 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Gent | 3 - 1 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Sep 17, 2023 | OH Leuven | 1 - 1 | Gent | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jul 08, 2023 | Gent | 4 - 0 | OH Leuven | Friendlies Clu… |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Gent | 2 - 1 | OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro Le… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Gent to win (45% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Gent Power
0
OH Leuven Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Gent Position+9
Position Gap14
OH Leuven Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.