AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Nov 12, 2023

Gent

Home
VS
15:00

OH Leuven

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Gent Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
OH Leuven Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Gent Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Gent vs Antwerp 3-2
Oct 29 Gent vs Standard … 3-1
Oct 22 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-0
Oct 01 Gent vs Westerlo 3-3
Sep 27 Gent vs Antwerp 0-0
Sep 03 Gent vs Anderlecht 1-1
Sep 03 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Aug 20 Gent vs St. Truid… 2-2
Aug 13 Gent vs Westerlo 1-3
Aug 13 Gent vs Cercle Br… 0-1
OH Leuven Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 4-0
Oct 07 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 3-2
Sep 30 OH Leuven vs Standard … 1-2
Sep 23 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 1-2
Aug 12 OH Leuven vs Union Sai… 5-1
Jul 08 OH Leuven vs Gent 4-0
Apr 08 OH Leuven vs Mechelen 4-1
Apr 02 OH Leuven vs Gent 2-1
Mar 04 OH Leuven vs Zulte War… 4-2
Feb 10 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • OH Leuven struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 08, 2023 Gent 4 - 0 OH Leuven Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2023 Gent 2 - 1 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 15, 2022 OH Leuven 0 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 09, 2022 OH Leuven 2 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 11, 2021 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Gent Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gent to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gent Power 0
OH Leuven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Gent Position

+9

Position Gap

14

OH Leuven Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.