AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Apr 02, 2023

Gent

Home
VS
11:30

OH Leuven

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Gent Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
OH Leuven Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.53 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gent Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
OH Leuven Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Gent Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Gent vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Mar 12 Gent vs Zulte War… 2-6
Mar 05 Gent vs Anderlecht 1-0
Feb 26 Gent vs Cercle Br… 2-0
Feb 19 Gent vs OH Leuven 2-0
Feb 11 Gent vs Westerlo 3-3
Jan 29 Gent vs Cercle Br… 3-2
Jan 22 Gent vs St. Truid… 0-3
Jan 17 Gent vs Westerlo 2-3
Jan 14 Gent vs Zulte War… 1-0
OH Leuven Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 OH Leuven vs Zulte War… 4-2
Feb 19 OH Leuven vs Gent 2-0
Feb 10 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 0-0
Jan 28 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 1-1
Jan 21 OH Leuven vs Union Sai… 1-0
Dec 26 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Nov 05 OH Leuven vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Oct 30 OH Leuven vs Gent 1-1
Oct 22 OH Leuven vs St. Truid… 0-0
Oct 15 OH Leuven vs Gent 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gent in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2023 Gent 2 - 0 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 30, 2022 OH Leuven 1 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Oct 15, 2022 OH Leuven 0 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Apr 10, 2022 Gent 5 - 0 OH Leuven Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 09, 2022 OH Leuven 2 - 1 Gent Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 11, 2021 OH Leuven 0 - 2 Gent Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gent to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gent Power 0
OH Leuven Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Gent Position

+9

Position Gap

14

OH Leuven Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.