AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League May 19, 2023

FC Thun

Home
VS
18:15

Lausanne

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Lausanne Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.58 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Lausanne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
FC Thun Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 FC Thun vs Lausanne 1-3
Feb 28 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 0-5
Jan 31 FC Thun vs FC Luzern 2-2
Jan 21 FC Thun vs Lausanne 4-1
Jan 14 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 2-0
Oct 21 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-1
Sep 02 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-0
Jul 09 FC Thun vs Lausanne 0-1
Jun 25 FC Thun vs FC St. Ga… 3-3
May 06 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 2-2
Lausanne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Lausanne vs FC Thun 1-3
Jan 21 Lausanne vs FC Thun 4-1
Nov 09 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 1-5
Oct 21 Lausanne vs FC Thun 2-1
Sep 02 Lausanne vs FC Thun 2-0
Jul 09 Lausanne vs FC Thun 0-1
May 01 Lausanne vs FC Luzern 3-0
Apr 24 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 3-1
Apr 18 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 4-1
Apr 09 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Thun struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Lausanne struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Lausanne 1 - 3 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Jan 21, 2023 Lausanne 4 - 1 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Oct 21, 2022 Lausanne 2 - 1 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Sep 02, 2022 FC Thun 2 - 0 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Jul 09, 2022 FC Thun 0 - 1 Lausanne Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
Lausanne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.