AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Oct 21, 2022

Lausanne

Home
VS
18:15

FC Thun

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Lausanne Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Thun Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lausanne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Lausanne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Lausanne vs FC Thun 2-0
Jul 09 Lausanne vs FC Thun 0-1
May 01 Lausanne vs FC Luzern 3-0
Apr 24 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 3-1
Apr 18 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 4-1
Apr 09 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 2-2
Apr 03 Lausanne vs Servette … 4-1
Feb 12 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 0-2
Feb 05 Lausanne vs Servette … 1-0
Jul 24 Lausanne vs FC Winter… 1-2
FC Thun Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-0
Jul 09 FC Thun vs Lausanne 0-1
Jun 25 FC Thun vs FC St. Ga… 3-3
May 06 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 2-2
Feb 18 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 2-4
Feb 10 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 3-4
Jan 08 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 6-1
Oct 15 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 0-2
Sep 18 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-0
Aug 20 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lausanne struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 02, 2022 FC Thun 2 - 0 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Jul 09, 2022 FC Thun 0 - 1 Lausanne Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lausanne to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lausanne Power 0
FC Thun Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.