AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Sep 02, 2022

FC Thun

Home
VS
18:15

Lausanne

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Lausanne Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.48 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Lausanne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
FC Thun Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 FC Thun vs Lausanne 0-1
Jun 25 FC Thun vs FC St. Ga… 3-3
May 06 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 2-2
Feb 18 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 2-4
Feb 10 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 3-4
Jan 08 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 6-1
Oct 15 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 0-2
Sep 18 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-0
Aug 20 FC Thun vs FC Winter… 3-0
Jul 17 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 2-3
Lausanne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 Lausanne vs FC Thun 0-1
May 01 Lausanne vs FC Luzern 3-0
Apr 24 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 3-1
Apr 18 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 4-1
Apr 09 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 2-2
Apr 03 Lausanne vs Servette … 4-1
Feb 12 Lausanne vs Grasshopp… 0-2
Feb 05 Lausanne vs Servette … 1-0
Jul 24 Lausanne vs FC Winter… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Thun struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 09, 2022 FC Thun 0 - 1 Lausanne Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
Lausanne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.