AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Apr 06, 2025

Spezia

Home
VS
15:15

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sampdoria Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.22 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Spezia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 Spezia vs Brescia 0-1
Mar 15 Spezia vs Cosenza 0-0
Mar 09 Spezia vs Pisa 3-2
Feb 28 Spezia vs Sudtirol 1-1
Feb 23 Spezia vs Catanzaro 0-1
Feb 15 Spezia vs Monza 1-1
Feb 09 Spezia vs Palermo 2-2
Feb 01 Spezia vs Cittadella 0-2
Jan 24 Spezia vs Sassuolo 2-1
Jan 19 Spezia vs Carrarese 0-4
Sampdoria Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo … 2-5
Mar 29 Sampdoria vs Frosinone 0-3
Mar 23 Sampdoria vs Como Women 2-2
Mar 16 Sampdoria vs Reggiana … 2-2
Mar 15 Sampdoria vs Napoli Wo… 0-0
Mar 08 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-1
Mar 02 Sampdoria vs Bari 1-1
Mar 01 Sampdoria vs Lazio Wom… 3-0
Feb 21 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo 0-0
Feb 15 Sampdoria vs Sudtirol 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie A
Oct 22, 2021 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

-3

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.