AI Match Insights

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Serie B Dec 14, 2024

Sampdoria

Home
VS
16:15

Spezia

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Spezia Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.52 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Sampdoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Sampdoria vs Sassuolo 5-1
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 3-3
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 3-3
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-1
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-1
Nov 09 Sampdoria vs Pisa 3-0
Nov 03 Sampdoria vs Brescia 0-1
Oct 30 Sampdoria vs Cittadella 0-0
Oct 27 Sampdoria vs Mantova 1-0
Oct 20 Sampdoria vs Cosenza 3-5
Spezia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Spezia vs Cittadella 5-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Dec 01 Spezia vs Palermo 2-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 24 Spezia vs Sudtirol 3-0
Nov 10 Spezia vs Juve Stab… 0-3
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Oct 29 Spezia vs Brescia 1-1
Oct 25 Spezia vs Bari 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie A
Oct 22, 2021 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampdoria Power 32
Spezia Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Sampdoria Position

+3

Position Gap

17

Spezia Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.