AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 22, 2023

Sampdoria

Home
VS
18:45

Spezia

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Spezia Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.30 - 0.93
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Sampdoria Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Sampdoria vs Spezia 2-1
Jan 23 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-0
Oct 22 Sampdoria vs Spezia 2-1
Spezia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 17 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Jan 23 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-0
Oct 22 Spezia vs Sampdoria 2-1
Aug 20 Spezia vs Frosinone 0-1
Aug 16 Spezia vs Frosinone 0-1
Jul 27 Spezia vs Virtus En… 0-0
Jul 03 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Jan 23, 2022 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie A
Oct 22, 2021 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampdoria Power 32
Spezia Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.