AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Apr 14, 2024

Universidad de Chile

Home
VS
16:30

Coquimbo Unido

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Universidad de Chile Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Coquimbo Unido Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.80 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universidad de Chile Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Coquimbo Unido Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Universidad de Chile Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Universid… vs Huachipato 0-0
Mar 22 Universid… vs Union La … 0-0
Mar 02 Universid… vs Palestino 0-2
Feb 24 Universid… vs A. Italia… 1-0
Jan 30 Universid… vs Coquimbo … 1-0
Dec 09 Universid… vs Union La … 0-3
Dec 09 Universid… vs Ñublense 3-1
Dec 03 Universid… vs Cobresal 4-3
Dec 02 Universid… vs Deportes … 2-2
Nov 25 Universid… vs Huachipato 1-1
Coquimbo Unido Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Coquimbo … vs Unión Esp… 1-0
Jan 30 Coquimbo … vs Universid… 1-0
Dec 09 Coquimbo … vs Magallane… 2-3
Dec 01 Coquimbo … vs Union La … 1-2
Nov 24 Coquimbo … vs Universid… 1-2
Oct 07 Coquimbo … vs Unión Esp… 3-1
Jul 17 Coquimbo … vs Palestino 1-1
Jun 24 Coquimbo … vs Deportes … 1-1
May 10 Coquimbo … vs Universid… 2-1
Apr 24 Coquimbo … vs Unión Esp… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coquimbo Unido in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 30, 2024 Coquimbo Unido 1 - 0 Universidad de Chile Friendlies Clu…
Nov 24, 2023 Universidad de Chile 1 - 2 Coquimbo Unido Primera Divisi…
May 10, 2023 Coquimbo Unido 2 - 1 Universidad de Chile Primera Divisi…
Sep 16, 2021 Universidad de Chile 0 - 1 Coquimbo Unido Primera B
May 10, 2021 Coquimbo Unido 1 - 0 Universidad de Chile Primera B
Feb 07, 2021 Universidad de Chile 2 - 1 Coquimbo Unido Primera Divisi…
Oct 21, 2020 Coquimbo Unido 0 - 2 Universidad de Chile Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universidad de Chile to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universidad de Chile Power 0
Coquimbo Unido Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Universidad de Chile Position

+11

Position Gap

15

Coquimbo Unido Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.