AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Soccer League Oct 08, 2022

Orlando Pirates

Home
VS
18:00

Richards Bay

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Orlando Pirates Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Richards Bay Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 0.86 - 0.78
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Richards Bay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Orlando Pirates Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 2-0
Aug 14 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 0-1
Apr 27 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 0-0
Apr 06 Orlando P… vs Sekhukhun… 0-1
Feb 06 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 1-0
Dec 23 Orlando P… vs Amazulu 2-1
Sep 18 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 1-3
Richards Bay Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Richards … vs Amazulu 0-1
Aug 06 Richards … vs Golden Ar… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Orlando Pirates to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Orlando Pirates Power 0
Richards Bay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Orlando Pirates Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Richards Bay Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.