AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Superliga Jan 11, 2025

AF Elbasani

Home
VS
16:00

Teuta Durrës

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
AF Elbasani Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Teuta Durrës Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.20 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AF Elbasani Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Teuta Durrës Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
AF Elbasani Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 AF Elbasa… vs Partizani 2-2
Dec 08 AF Elbasa… vs Vllaznia … 1-2
Dec 04 AF Elbasa… vs Bylis 3-1
Nov 30 AF Elbasa… vs Egnatia R… 3-1
Nov 24 AF Elbasa… vs Tirana 1-1
Nov 04 AF Elbasa… vs Dinamo Ti… 0-5
Oct 31 AF Elbasa… vs Teuta Dur… 0-0
Oct 20 AF Elbasa… vs Partizani 1-1
Oct 06 AF Elbasa… vs Vllaznia … 0-0
Sep 29 AF Elbasa… vs Bylis 0-1
Teuta Durrës Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Teuta Dur… vs Bylis 0-0
Dec 15 Teuta Dur… vs Egnatia R… 2-1
Dec 09 Teuta Dur… vs Tirana 0-0
Nov 30 Teuta Dur… vs Dinamo Ti… 2-0
Nov 23 Teuta Dur… vs Vllaznia … 2-1
Nov 04 Teuta Dur… vs Partizani 1-1
Oct 31 Teuta Dur… vs AF Elbasa… 0-0
Oct 25 Teuta Dur… vs Bylis 4-0
Oct 19 Teuta Dur… vs Egnatia R… 0-0
Oct 06 Teuta Dur… vs Tirana 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 31, 2024 Teuta Durrës 0 - 0 AF Elbasani Superliga
Aug 26, 2024 AF Elbasani 3 - 0 Teuta Durrës Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AF Elbasani to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AF Elbasani Power 0
Teuta Durrës Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

AF Elbasani Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Teuta Durrës Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.