AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Apr 26, 2025

Génesis

Home
VS
23:15

Juticalpa

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Juticalpa Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.03 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Génesis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Génesis vs Victoria 3-3
Mar 06 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-0
Mar 02 Génesis vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Feb 23 Génesis vs Juticalpa 0-1
Jan 30 Génesis vs Victoria 1-0
Jan 19 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 07 Génesis vs Real Espa… 2-0
Dec 05 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Dec 01 Génesis vs Juticalpa 3-0
Oct 27 Génesis vs Real Espa… 1-1
Juticalpa Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 5-1
Apr 08 Juticalpa vs Victoria 1-2
Mar 29 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Mar 11 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 1-2
Mar 06 Juticalpa vs CD Marath… 4-0
Feb 23 Juticalpa vs Génesis 0-1
Feb 12 Juticalpa vs CD Motagua 0-3
Feb 09 Juticalpa vs Victoria 0-1
Jan 29 Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… 1-0
Jan 26 Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juticalpa struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Juticalpa 0 - 1 Génesis Liga Nacional
Dec 01, 2024 Génesis 3 - 0 Juticalpa Liga Nacional
Sep 22, 2024 Juticalpa 0 - 0 Génesis Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Génesis Power 0
Juticalpa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.