AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Apr 26, 2025
Génesis
HomeVS
23:15
Juticalpa
AwayAI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Génesis Win
Draw
Juticalpa Win
Home Win
(61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.03 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Génesis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Juticalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
Génesis Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30 | Génesis vs Victoria | 3-3 |
| Mar 06 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Génesis vs CD Olimpia | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Génesis vs Juticalpa | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Génesis vs Victoria | 1-0 |
| Jan 19 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Génesis vs Juticalpa | 3-0 |
| Oct 27 | Génesis vs Real Espa… | 1-1 |
Juticalpa Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13 | Juticalpa vs CD Motagua | 5-1 |
| Apr 08 | Juticalpa vs Victoria | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Juticalpa vs CD Marath… | 4-0 |
| Feb 23 | Juticalpa vs Génesis | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Juticalpa vs CD Motagua | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Juticalpa vs Victoria | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Juticalpa vs Lobos Upn… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Juticalpa vs CD Olimpia | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Juticalpa struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juticalpa | 0 - 1 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Génesis | 3 - 0 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0 - 0 | Génesis | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Génesis to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Génesis Power
0
Juticalpa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.